Derby vs Watford Prediction, Lineups & Odds
We’re Confident Rams Will Get Job Done
Derby could have the edge over Watford and our bet is backing them on the -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.98. It provides some insurance of half the stake returned in the event of a draw.
Watford Beat Derby Last Time Out
Derby County have lost their last three games. Away at Ashton Gate, they recently suffered a 1-0 defeat against Bristol City. The East Midlands side enjoyed 52% possession and had three shots on target.
Watford played Cardiff City away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Cardiff City Stadium. The Hornets recorded 49% possession and managed two shots on goal, while Vakoun Issouf Bayo found the net.
Watford had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Vicarage Road Stadium, they recorded a 2-1 home victory over Derby. In the previous 3 H2H games, Watford have secured a victory on every occasion.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Derby have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. The Rams have averaged 45.2% possession and 5.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 5.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Ebou Adams has found the net 3 times, Jerry Yates 2, with Kayden Jackson and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Kenzo Goudmijn with 2.
Watford – Last 10 League GamesWatford have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 7.3 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Tom Cleverley's team average 54.0% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.
The leading scorer has been Vakoun Issouf Bayo with 3, while Kwadwo Baah and Rocco Vata have 2. Rocco Vata has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Kane Wilson, Curtis Nelson, Eiran Cashin, Callum Elder, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ben Osborn, Kayden Jackson, Ebou Adams, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Jerry Yates.
Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jonathan Bond (GK), James Abankwah, Francisco Sierralta, Matthew Pollock, Jeremy Ngakia, Imran Louza, Tom Dele-Bashiru, Kwadwo Baah, Edo Kayembe, Rocco Vata, Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
Expert Championship Analysis
The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.
Key Derby vs Watford league stats:
Derby vs Watford Prediction
Derby look like a cracking bet on the Asian Handicap for this Championship game. Taking them at -0.25 at odds of 1.98 looks to be the way forward and there’s a healthy potential return.
There’s an opportunity to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative betting view.
Derby -0.25 Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Our Pick
Derby Asian Hcp -0.25 @ 1.98
Correct Score Prediction
There are betting odds of 8.00 that Derby land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
There has been five straight Watford away matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with an average of 9.40 corners in the last 5 Derby home games. The Total Corners line could be on the high side based on the stats and 1.80 is available to back.
League Games


Latest Corner Odds




T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Derby vs Watford Odds
Derby County are the 2.00 favourites and that means a 50% chance of winning this Championship match according to the betting odds at the bookies. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Watford are available at 3.75.
The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.
If you fancy Derby County but want money back if this Championship match is a draw, then you can get 1.44. You can bet on Watford at 2.63 on the Draw No Bet market.







Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
Derby League Stats
Watford League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Derby vs Watford team news.
The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Derby vs Watford Lineups
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Substitutes
- 3Craig Forsyth
- 7Tom Barkhuizen
- 9James Collins
- 16Liam Thompson
- 18Marcus Harness
- 23Joe Ward
- 27C. Blackett-Taylor
- 31Josh Vickers
- 39Dajaune Brown
Watford Substitutes
- 5Ryan Porteous
- 7Thomas Ince
- 17Moussa Sissoko
- 20Mamadou Doumbia
- 21Angelo Ogbonna
- 37Yasser Larouci
- 40Myles Roberts
- 45Ryan Andrews
- 61Amin Nabizada
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Watford Lineups
Championship Table
2025/2026 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Next Predictions
















